Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.1 | ✗ (24.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -21 (77-98). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Brewer * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 35 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 24 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| John Lucas III * | 24 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Korver * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Teague * | 37 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 31 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Willie Green * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ivan Johnson * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tracy McGrady | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter