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2012-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (94-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 8-14 1-1 2-3 7 5 0 2 1 19 18 -
Devin Harris * 34 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 7 2 0 4 5 8 -
Al Jefferson * 33 7-19 0-0 4-4 12 3 0 3 0 18 17 -
CJ Miles * 28 1-10 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 3 -2 -
Paul Millsap * 27 6-10 0-1 4-5 7 2 1 0 4 16 12 -
Derrick Favors * 22 3-9 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
Alec Burks * 19 2-7 0-0 5-7 3 1 2 0 1 9 7 -
Earl Watson * 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 0 6 -
Enes Freedom * 12 3-3 0-0 0-3 3 0 0 0 2 6 4 -
DeMarre Carroll * 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Avery Bradley * 42 3-10 1-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 9 3 -
Brandon Bass * 35 7-17 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 0 1 19 5 -
Paul Pierce * 35 6-16 1-6 7-7 6 1 2 1 2 20 12 -
Rajon Rondo * 35 3-7 0-1 0-1 4 14 0 0 3 6 14 -
Kevin Garnett * 33 10-16 0-0 3-3 10 4 2 1 1 23 23 -
Greg Stiemsma * 19 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 4 0 1 10 -
Keyon Dooling * 17 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 7 5 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
Ryan Hollins 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter