🐻⬇️🏀

@
2012-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 59.5% 40.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +9 (105-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Lawson * 38 9-19 2-7 6-6 4 9 2 0 1 26 21 -
Arron Afflalo * 36 5-16 1-5 4-4 4 2 0 0 1 15 4 -
Wilson Chandler * 32 5-14 1-1 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 13 7 -
Al Harrington * 31 4-11 1-5 2-4 7 2 0 0 0 11 9 -
Andre Miller * 26 2-5 0-1 4-5 4 2 2 0 2 8 9 -
JaVale McGee * 23 3-4 0-0 2-3 7 1 1 2 0 8 15 -
Kenneth Faried * 23 4-6 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 10 10 -
Corey Brewer * 15 0-1 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Timofey Mozgov * 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 37 6-20 0-0 5-11 5 5 1 0 2 17 6 -
Andrea Bargnani * 36 7-14 2-4 10-12 5 2 1 1 2 26 19 -
Jose Calderon * 33 3-6 3-4 1-2 3 10 1 0 2 10 16 -
Linas Kleiza * 28 4-12 3-7 4-4 3 2 0 1 0 15 9 -
Amir Johnson * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 1 4 8 -
Ed Davis * 19 2-8 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 1 4 6 -
Gary Forbes * 18 4-8 3-4 0-0 10 2 0 0 1 11 14 -
Aaron Gray * 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 6 8 -
Alan Anderson * 13 2-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
Ben Uzoh * 12 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter