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2012-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma City Thunder Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 51.3% 48.7% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 54.4% 45.6% -1.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -14 (95-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 34 16-26 0-3 0-3 3 8 3 0 2 32 18 -
Kevin Durant * 32 10-14 2-5 3-3 6 1 2 0 5 25 15 -
Serge Ibaka * 28 3-7 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 6 0 8 19 -
James Harden * 28 6-7 2-2 7-7 3 5 0 0 1 21 21 -
Kendrick Perkins * 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 3 0 5 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 22 3-5 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
Nick Collison * 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Derek Fisher * 15 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
Nazr Mohammed * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Royal Ivey * 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
Reggie Jackson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Cole Aldrich 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Lazar Hayward 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMarcus Aldridge * 36 9-16 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 1 2 20 14 -
Wesley Matthews * 34 5-13 2-4 5-5 3 1 4 0 0 17 12 -
Nicolas Batum * 30 4-11 1-3 4-4 1 1 0 1 1 13 4 -
JJ Hickson * 26 9-10 0-0 3-6 4 0 3 1 1 21 18 -
Jonny Flynn * 25 3-6 1-2 3-4 3 5 0 0 1 10 11 -
Nolan Smith * 25 1-9 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 3 -1 -
Jamal Crawford * 19 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -4 -
Joel Przybilla * 14 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Luke Babbitt * 12 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Kurt Thomas 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 -
Hasheem Thabeet 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter