Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -7 (100-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 9-17 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Danny Green * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 15 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| James Anderson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Patty Mills | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Brown * | 42 | 11-18 | 5-10 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sebastian Telfair * | 14 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ronnie Price * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Markieff Morris * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter