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2012-03-26

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.4 (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -17 (91-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arron Afflalo * 37 8-12 2-4 4-4 3 4 0 0 2 22 15 -
Ty Lawson * 36 11-21 3-5 2-2 9 2 2 0 1 27 18 -
Wilson Chandler * 35 3-10 0-1 1-1 7 4 2 2 2 7 10 -
Al Harrington * 29 6-14 3-6 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 17 7 -
Andre Miller * 28 6-8 0-0 0-0 4 10 3 0 2 12 19 -
JaVale McGee * 23 5-11 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 2 0 10 9 -
Timofey Mozgov * 19 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 5 6 -
Kenneth Faried * 18 3-6 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 1 1 8 11 -
Corey Brewer * 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 0 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 38 3-9 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 9 -1 -
C.J. Watson * 34 5-12 3-4 4-4 1 8 1 0 5 17 10 -
Taj Gibson * 26 2-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 0 5 10 -
Carlos Boozer * 26 7-9 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 0 3 14 11 -
Kyle Korver * 26 5-7 4-4 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 14 14 -
Joakim Noah * 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 4 0 2 7 -
John Lucas III * 19 5-11 4-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 14 5 -
Omer Asik * 18 3-5 0-0 1-1 6 3 1 5 2 7 15 -
Ronnie Brewer * 18 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 -
Jimmy Butler III * 8 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter