Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (105-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 9-21 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 35 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| David West * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 14 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter