Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +16 (103-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 28 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Jones | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 42 | 11-20 | 4-5 | 2-5 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| James Harden * | 31 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 31 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lazar Hayward | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Jackson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Royal Ivey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter