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2012-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% -
Margin 20.5% 79.5% +7.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (88-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 38 5-17 0-0 2-2 2 9 1 0 3 12 4 -
Kevin Seraphin * 36 6-15 0-0 3-6 11 0 2 1 2 15 12 -
Jordan Crawford * 31 8-18 1-5 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 20 5 -
Trevor Booker * 30 1-7 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 3 2 4 -
Chris Singleton * 30 3-10 2-5 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 11 5 -
Jan Vesely * 24 5-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 3 11 11 -
Roger Mason Jr. * 16 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Shelvin Mack * 11 0-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2 -
Maurice Evans * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Edwin Ubiles * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Brian Cook * 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Avery Bradley * 39 9-14 1-2 4-4 3 1 1 0 0 23 14 -
Brandon Bass * 33 4-8 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 3 1 11 12 -
Rajon Rondo * 33 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 11 2 0 6 4 10 -
Paul Pierce * 31 8-17 2-6 3-3 8 3 1 0 3 21 13 -
Kevin Garnett * 23 3-10 0-0 4-4 5 6 2 0 2 10 11 -
Greg Stiemsma * 23 4-5 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 10 13 -
Marquis Daniels * 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 -
Keyon Dooling * 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
Ryan Hollins 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
E'Twaun Moore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sasha Pavlovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
JaJuan Johnson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter