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2012-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (23.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -21 (104-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Hill * 27 7-9 3-4 7-8 3 5 1 0 2 24 22 -
Danny Granger * 25 3-8 0-2 9-10 7 1 1 0 1 15 15 -
Darren Collison * 24 4-10 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 8 4 -
Roy Hibbert * 24 7-11 0-0 2-2 9 1 2 2 1 16 18 -
Lou Amundson * 23 3-6 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 1 1 8 10 -
Dahntay Jones * 22 4-8 3-5 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 13 11 -
Tyler Hansbrough * 21 2-5 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
David West * 20 6-14 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 1 0 15 11 -
Leandro Barbosa * 17 2-3 0-0 5-5 3 1 1 0 0 9 11 -
Paul George * 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
Lance Stephenson 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
AJ Price 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Jeff Ayres 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Jennings * 31 5-16 2-5 0-0 3 5 2 0 2 12 4 -
Carlos Delfino * 30 5-11 3-6 0-0 7 3 2 0 2 13 12 -
Monta Ellis * 30 4-9 1-3 2-4 1 6 0 0 2 11 7 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 28 8-15 1-2 5-5 8 0 0 0 0 22 15 -
Drew Gooden * 21 3-11 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 3 1 8 8 -
Mike Dunleavy * 20 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 7 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 18 4-6 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
Shaun Livingston * 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 5 0 0 2 3 7 -
Beno Udrih * 14 0-7 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Ekpe Udoh * 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Jon Brockman 6 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Tobias Harris 5 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
Larry Sanders 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter