Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -2 (99-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 10-20 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 34 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 47 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Chandler Parsons * | 46 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 42 | 6-20 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 18 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Courtney Fortson * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter