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2012-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -

Actual: LA Clippers +16 (101-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Randolph * 37 6-16 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 0 0 14 10 -
Marc Gasol * 33 3-12 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 0 3 6 1 -
Rudy Gay * 26 4-9 1-2 2-3 2 1 0 0 2 11 3 -
Tony Allen * 26 3-5 1-1 4-4 6 2 0 1 3 11 12 -
O.J. Mayo * 24 5-12 2-4 1-3 3 6 0 2 2 13 10 -
Mike Conley * 21 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 9 2 0 2 9 15 -
Gilbert Arenas * 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Quincy Pondexter * 18 3-3 3-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 9 9 -
Marreese Speights * 13 3-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Dante Cunningham * 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jeremy Pargo 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Hamed Haddadi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 36 6-13 0-4 7-9 1 13 2 0 1 19 21 -
Blake Griffin * 34 6-9 0-0 8-12 10 5 1 1 3 20 25 -
DeAndre Jordan * 34 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 6 10 -
Randy Foye * 30 5-11 4-8 4-5 3 1 1 1 2 18 11 -
Caron Butler * 28 6-11 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 12 9 -
Nick Young * 26 6-13 0-1 4-5 3 1 0 0 0 16 7 -
Kenyon Martin * 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Reggie Evans * 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 1 3 5 -
Bobby Simmons * 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Eric Bledsoe 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 -
Trey Thompkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter