Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +17 (104-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 5-21 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | -3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 7-18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jianlian Yi | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Green * | 36 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Kawhi Leonard * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 26 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| James Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Dawson | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter