Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -15 (73-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| LeBron James * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Norris Cole * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| James Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayshaun Prince * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Knight * | 26 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jonas Jerebko * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter