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2012-03-23

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +17 (96-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amar'e Stoudemire * 33 6-12 0-1 5-11 6 0 1 2 4 17 10 -
Tyson Chandler * 32 1-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 2 3 2 8 -
Carmelo Anthony * 30 6-15 0-4 0-0 9 3 2 1 4 12 8 -
Jeremy Lin * 25 3-9 0-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 3 6 -1 -
Steve Novak * 24 5-10 5-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 15 8 -
JR Smith * 23 3-11 0-5 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 7 -3 -
Landry Fields * 21 1-6 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 3 1 -
Baron Davis * 21 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 8 2 0 4 5 7 -
Iman Shumpert * 16 3-7 0-3 1-1 2 2 1 0 1 7 4 -
Josh Harrellson * 6 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Jerome Jordan 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 3 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jose Calderon * 44 0-10 0-4 2-2 3 10 2 0 2 2 5 -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 11-17 0-0 8-9 3 1 0 0 2 30 15 -
Andrea Bargnani * 34 9-20 1-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 4 21 5 -
James Johnson * 27 3-8 0-1 2-4 6 5 2 0 1 8 12 -
Amir Johnson * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 3 4 6 -
Gary Forbes * 20 8-12 0-2 3-4 6 2 1 0 0 19 16 -
Ed Davis * 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 2 3 3 9 -
Aaron Gray * 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 2 7 -
Linas Kleiza * 14 2-5 0-1 1-3 0 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
Solomon Alabi 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter