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2012-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% +10.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.2% 82.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +15 (109-94). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Maggette * 29 5-11 1-3 6-10 5 2 0 0 1 17 12 -
D.J. Augustin * 28 3-8 1-3 1-1 1 10 3 0 2 8 12 -
Gerald Henderson * 27 6-12 0-1 1-4 3 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
Boris Diaw * 24 2-10 0-1 1-2 6 3 0 1 1 5 4 -
Bismack Biyombo * 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 4 3 -
Kemba Walker 19 2-8 0-0 2-2 3 5 2 0 1 6 7 -
Derrick Brown 18 2-5 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
DeSagana Diop 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Reggie Williams 17 6-7 1-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 2 14 8 -
DJ White 16 6-9 0-0 3-5 4 1 0 0 0 15 11 -
Byron Mullens 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Tyrus Thomas 13 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 2 1 -
Matt Carroll 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney Stuckey * 35 10-18 0-1 9-11 4 3 0 0 3 29 15 -
Brandon Knight * 35 7-14 1-4 5-6 1 5 0 0 0 20 12 -
Greg Monroe * 32 6-11 0-0 7-9 20 2 0 1 2 19 29 -
Tayshaun Prince * 30 7-11 0-1 0-0 10 2 0 1 2 14 14 -
Jason Maxiell * 27 1-7 0-0 1-4 7 1 0 4 0 3 8 -
Ben Gordon 23 5-11 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 10 0 -
Jonas Jerebko 20 3-7 0-1 2-2 6 0 1 1 4 8 5 -
Damien Wilkins 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
Ben Wallace 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
Walker Russell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Vernon Macklin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter