Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.1% | 16.9% | -5.9 | ✗ (23.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +18 (119-101). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 39 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Favors | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Enes Freedom | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| CJ Miles | 13 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Alec Burks | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 39 | 13-21 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 18 | - |
| David Lee * | 39 | 9-23 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 10-14 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 32 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Rush | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Nate Robinson | 9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jeremy Tyler | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Charles Jenkins | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Earl Barron | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter