Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.0% | 39.0% | -2.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (106-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Neal * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| George Hill * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Danny Green * | 24 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channing Frye * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 32 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 21 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 17 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter