Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +4 (107-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Forbes * | 42 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 40 | 10-20 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - |
| JR Smith * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Hayward * | 40 | 12-17 | 5-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 40 | 6-17 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Evans * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter