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2011-04-13

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.6% 65.4% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -4 (106-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Jennings * 36 4-11 1-3 7-8 6 7 5 1 3 16 21 -
Ersan Ilyasova * 33 5-8 1-2 3-3 9 0 2 2 0 14 19 -
John Salmons * 32 6-10 0-1 3-4 3 3 5 0 1 15 15 -
Michael Redd * 28 5-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 11 5 -
Larry Sanders * 27 5-9 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 2 3 10 9 -
Carlos Delfino * 25 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 10 5 -
Drew Gooden * 22 4-13 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 -2 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 21 2-6 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Corey Maggette * 18 3-5 0-0 6-6 1 2 1 0 2 12 9 -
Keyon Dooling * 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Earl Boykins * 7 2-4 2-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 6 4 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nazr Mohammed * 31 5-11 0-0 2-4 10 0 2 1 4 12 10 -
Daequan Cook * 29 4-6 3-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 11 11 -
Byron Mullens * 29 4-9 0-0 2-4 5 0 1 0 2 10 5 -
James Harden * 24 5-12 1-3 1-1 6 5 0 0 1 12 10 -
Kevin Durant * 23 6-14 1-3 1-1 6 2 1 2 4 14 7 -
Serge Ibaka * 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 1 6 12 -
Russell Westbrook * 21 7-9 0-1 6-6 3 5 3 0 4 20 18 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 21 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 7 9 -
Kendrick Perkins * 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 3 2 4 -
Nate Robinson * 19 2-11 1-5 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 7 -1 -
Eric Maynor * 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 2 2 -
Royal Ivey * 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter