Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +32 (121-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Jack * | 28 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 21 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Willie Green * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Ewing | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 10-21 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 28 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 24 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter