Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -18 (79-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie House * | 45 | 14-27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 35 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Johnson * | 41 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 41 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Joey Dorsey * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Julian Wright * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Solomon Alabi * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter