Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (102-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Splitter * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 25 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| James Anderson * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Danny Green * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 40 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 36 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 36 | 8-21 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Smith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter