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2011-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +13 (102-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Young * 36 5-9 1-1 2-3 4 2 1 0 0 13 11 -
O.J. Mayo * 33 5-13 2-4 1-1 5 3 0 0 2 13 6 -
Mike Conley * 31 8-13 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 17 5 -
Marc Gasol * 30 4-9 0-0 3-4 10 2 0 1 0 11 15 -
Shane Battier * 29 4-6 2-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 12 8 -
Hamed Haddadi * 19 4-8 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 1 4 9 9 -
Greivis Vasquez * 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -3 -
Darrell Arthur * 15 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
Ish Smith * 13 3-6 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
Leon Powe 12 0-4 0-0 2-6 5 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 34 5-11 1-3 3-3 4 2 2 0 4 14 7 -
Andre Miller * 32 2-3 0-0 5-5 2 8 2 1 0 9 19 -
Nicolas Batum * 32 4-14 1-5 7-8 5 0 1 2 2 16 8 -
Marcus Camby * 30 2-7 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 3 1 4 12 -
Wesley Matthews * 29 5-16 3-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 13 1 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 28 10-16 0-0 2-2 11 2 1 0 0 22 20 -
Rudy Fernandez * 27 5-6 4-5 4-5 1 3 1 1 1 18 17 -
Brandon Roy * 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 2 3 -
Patty Mills * 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Chris Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Armon Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Earl Barron 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter