Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (22.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +23 (134-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorell Wright * | 37 | 8-23 | 4-11 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 11 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 35 | 7-16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 10-13 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| David Lee * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Lin * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Al Thornton | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Adrien | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Lawson * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 33 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 31 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| JR Smith * | 30 | 6-17 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Kosta Koufos * | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Melvin Ely | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter