Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (91-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-22 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 37 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 35 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goran Dragic * | 53 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 46 | 10-24 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 4 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 41 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 29 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
* = starter