Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -8 (90-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 10-21 | 2-4 | 12-14 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 26 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 30 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| James Jones * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaza Pachulia * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 23 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Al Horford * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 21 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 16 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
* = starter