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2011-04-10

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 28.0% 72.0% +5.2 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +22 (111-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Ariza * 34 5-11 1-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 11 9 -
Chris Paul * 28 0-6 0-1 0-2 3 10 2 0 2 0 7 -
Emeka Okafor * 28 3-6 0-0 1-3 7 0 2 0 2 7 8 -
Marco Belinelli * 27 7-12 4-9 0-2 2 3 0 0 3 18 8 -
Willie Green * 19 4-9 2-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 11 0 -
Carl Landry * 19 4-8 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
Jarrett Jack * 19 2-7 1-1 5-5 1 3 0 0 0 10 7 -
Jason Smith * 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 8 7 -
Aaron Gray * 15 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Quincy Pondexter 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
DJ Mbenga 7 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 2 0 5 8 -
Patrick Ewing 6 0-3 0-1 3-4 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Gasol * 28 5-7 0-0 6-6 7 2 1 3 3 16 19 -
O.J. Mayo * 26 6-12 2-6 4-4 1 2 3 0 1 18 11 -
Zach Randolph * 25 5-8 0-0 4-5 5 6 0 0 1 14 16 -
Mike Conley * 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 3 3 0 0 2 6 -
Greivis Vasquez * 22 5-5 2-2 1-3 1 5 1 0 2 13 13 -
Sam Young * 21 5-7 0-0 4-6 6 2 0 0 3 14 12 -
Tony Allen * 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 4 5 -
Shane Battier * 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 8 -
Hamed Haddadi * 19 2-3 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 1 1 9 14 -
Darrell Arthur * 15 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 8 5 -
Leon Powe 7 2-5 0-0 0-3 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
Ish Smith 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter