Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +23 (100-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 34 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Delonte West * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Troy Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 11-19 | 0-2 | 5-9 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 30 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| James Jones * | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter