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2011-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 (18.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +24 (130-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Martell Webster * 32 5-11 2-3 3-3 5 1 0 1 2 15 9 -
Michael Beasley * 28 5-12 1-3 3-4 2 2 0 0 5 14 1 -
Luke Ridnour * 25 3-11 1-6 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 7 1 -
Anthony Tolliver * 25 2-5 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 0 5 9 -
Wesley Johnson * 24 4-12 3-8 2-2 6 3 1 2 0 13 13 -
Wayne Ellington * 23 2-6 2-4 4-4 1 2 0 0 1 10 6 -
Jonny Flynn * 22 5-6 0-0 0-1 3 9 1 0 1 10 16 -
Anthony Randolph * 21 5-9 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 1 0 13 12 -
Nikola Pekovic * 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 4 4 3 -
Lazar Hayward * 15 6-10 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 15 7 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Raymond Felton * 36 4-10 2-4 1-1 2 14 1 0 1 11 17 -
Gary Forbes * 33 2-8 0-3 6-6 5 4 1 0 3 10 9 -
JR Smith * 31 6-16 6-13 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 18 13 -
Ty Lawson * 31 11-16 10-11 5-6 7 6 1 0 1 37 34 -
Nene Hilario * 27 5-5 0-0 0-8 5 4 4 1 2 10 17 -
Kenyon Martin * 24 5-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 12 12 -
Al Harrington * 18 4-9 0-4 4-4 4 3 0 0 1 12 9 -
Kosta Koufos * 17 5-6 0-0 1-6 6 0 0 0 2 11 9 -
Danilo Gallinari * 10 1-6 1-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
Melvin Ely 8 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter