Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (111-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Harris * | 40 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 36 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Favors * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 23 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Evans * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Weaver * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 34 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| George Hill * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Steve Novak | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter