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2011-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +15 (104-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 38 3-10 1-5 10-11 9 2 2 2 0 17 22 -
Nene Hilario * 35 6-9 0-0 6-9 9 1 0 1 3 18 17 -
Raymond Felton * 35 7-12 1-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 17 4 -
Kenyon Martin * 30 7-15 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 0 1 14 13 -
Ty Lawson * 29 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 6 1 0 6 5 4 -
JR Smith * 26 1-6 1-3 3-6 1 3 0 0 2 6 2 -
Wilson Chandler * 25 1-10 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -7 -
Al Harrington * 12 3-8 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
Kosta Koufos 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Gary Forbes 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 33 9-21 2-7 8-10 7 2 2 0 3 28 15 -
Russell Westbrook * 32 7-15 0-1 3-4 3 8 6 0 2 17 17 -
Nick Collison * 30 0-2 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 2 7 -
James Harden * 25 5-8 2-5 2-4 5 3 0 0 1 14 13 -
Serge Ibaka * 24 1-7 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 23 4-9 1-3 2-3 5 2 0 1 0 11 10 -
Kendrick Perkins * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 3 4 5 -
Nazr Mohammed * 19 7-11 0-0 1-3 4 0 1 0 0 15 9 -
Eric Maynor * 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 0 0 8 -
Daequan Cook * 11 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 5 -
Nate Robinson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Royal Ivey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter