Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +9 (112-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwame Brown * | 41 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Dante Cunningham * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Augustin * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| DJ White * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gerald Henderson * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Garrett Temple * | 19 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 6-9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Matt Carroll * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 15-16 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 20 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| James Jones * | 19 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter