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2011-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +10 (110-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ersan Ilyasova * 35 7-14 0-2 4-4 6 1 1 0 2 18 10 -
Brandon Jennings * 32 13-21 2-5 3-3 2 4 3 0 2 31 17 -
Drew Gooden * 28 5-12 0-1 2-2 4 3 1 1 2 12 7 -
John Salmons * 28 4-8 0-1 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 10 7 -
Keyon Dooling * 24 5-10 1-5 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 11 6 -
Michael Redd * 24 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
Carlos Delfino * 19 0-7 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Jon Brockman * 11 0-4 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Earl Boykins * 8 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 4 6 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Corey Maggette * 5 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
Larry Sanders 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 4 6 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tayshaun Prince * 34 6-14 0-3 4-4 7 1 0 0 1 16 9 -
Rodney Stuckey * 33 7-14 0-1 8-8 4 4 0 0 5 22 11 -
Greg Monroe * 32 2-3 0-0 7-8 8 3 0 0 0 11 19 -
Richard Hamilton * 31 2-10 0-0 5-6 4 6 1 0 3 9 7 -
Chris Wilcox * 23 12-18 0-0 3-3 13 0 1 1 1 27 23 -
Austin Daye * 19 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 5 8 -
Ben Gordon * 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jason Maxiell * 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
Charlie Villanueva * 15 7-13 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 15 5 -
Tracy McGrady * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 0 6 -

* = starter