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2011-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -11 (82-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Rose * 33 4-10 0-2 3-3 1 8 0 0 4 11 6 -
Luol Deng * 33 3-10 1-4 3-4 9 6 1 2 2 10 16 -
Carlos Boozer * 31 12-18 0-0 0-0 11 1 2 0 4 24 16 -
Ronnie Brewer * 25 6-9 0-2 0-0 4 3 3 0 0 12 13 -
Joakim Noah * 24 4-7 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 6 0 11 20 -
Taj Gibson * 23 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
Keith Bogans * 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 3 4 -
C.J. Watson * 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 5 1 0 2 0 0 -
Omer Asik * 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Kyle Korver 20 4-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 10 6 -
Kurt Thomas 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JJ Hickson * 32 11-20 0-0 0-3 15 0 1 1 4 22 15 -
Baron Davis * 29 4-12 0-3 2-2 3 6 0 0 1 10 6 -
Daniel Gibson * 28 6-9 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 1 1 14 8 -
Anthony Parker * 27 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 3 2 0 3 6 4 -
Ryan Hollins * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 -
Alonzo Gee * 26 5-10 1-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 11 6 -
Luke Harangody * 21 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 0 1 -
Ramon Sessions * 18 5-10 0-1 3-3 1 0 0 0 3 13 1 -
Semih Erden * 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
Joey Graham * 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Manny Harris 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter