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2011-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% -
Margin 53.0% 47.0% -0.7 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +16 (97-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Allen * 38 3-11 0-3 1-1 6 2 0 0 0 7 4 -
Rajon Rondo * 31 3-10 0-0 1-3 5 6 1 0 0 7 9 -
Paul Pierce * 31 6-13 1-5 2-2 4 1 0 1 4 15 4 -
Kevin Garnett * 30 3-9 0-0 4-4 10 2 2 0 1 10 14 -
Glen Davis * 28 1-8 0-0 6-6 3 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
Jeff Green * 21 4-7 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
Delonte West * 18 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 9 2 -
Nenad Krstic * 17 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Jermaine O'Neal * 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 2 0 5 2 -
Sasha Pavlovic 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Troy Murphy 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Rose * 39 9-16 2-5 10-10 5 8 2 0 3 30 26 -
Luol Deng * 36 9-18 3-6 2-2 6 1 1 2 1 23 14 -
Carlos Boozer * 35 6-16 0-0 2-3 12 2 1 1 2 14 12 -
Kyle Korver * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 5 1 -
Joakim Noah * 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 2 6 -
Kurt Thomas * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
Ronnie Brewer * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 4 5 -
Keith Bogans * 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Taj Gibson * 13 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 1 1 6 8 -
C.J. Watson * 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Omer Asik * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rasual Butler 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter