Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -8 (96-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin * | 36 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| JR Smith * | 28 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 28 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 19 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 31 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 31 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 19 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter