Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.1% | 91.9% | +13.4 | ✓ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +32 (124-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreke Evans * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Thornton * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 25 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jason Thompson * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 24 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 18 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Omri Casspi | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Pooh Jeter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| George Hill * | 25 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Danny Green * | 12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Steve Novak | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter