Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (85-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 37 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Jennings * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 28 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Larry Sanders * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| LeBron James * | 39 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 17 | - |
| James Jones * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 16 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter