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2011-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 60.9% 39.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +3 (97-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Channing Frye * 38 5-15 3-8 0-0 9 2 0 3 2 13 10 -
Marcin Gortat * 36 4-9 0-0 2-2 13 0 0 3 1 10 16 -
Steve Nash * 34 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 16 2 0 3 6 16 -
Grant Hill * 33 6-10 0-1 1-1 2 4 1 0 2 13 8 -
Jared Dudley * 25 5-9 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
Vince Carter * 22 9-22 3-6 2-3 5 1 2 0 1 23 8 -
Hakim Warrick * 18 3-5 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 0 0 9 9 -
Josh Childress * 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 4 5 -
Aaron Brooks * 13 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 4 2 -
Robin Lopez * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 39 7-16 2-5 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 18 7 -
Carlos Boozer * 34 5-13 0-0 2-3 9 7 1 0 4 12 12 -
Derrick Rose * 34 6-15 1-5 6-6 3 4 0 1 2 19 10 -
Joakim Noah * 28 6-7 0-0 0-0 4 4 4 1 1 12 17 -
Taj Gibson * 20 4-7 0-0 2-5 9 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
Ronnie Brewer * 19 3-7 1-1 3-4 6 4 0 0 1 10 12 -
Keith Bogans * 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 3 7 -
C.J. Watson * 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 6 5 -
Omer Asik * 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 3 -
Kyle Korver 21 2-4 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 6 4 -
Kurt Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter