Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +6 (78-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Jennings * | 36 | 3-15 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -7 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| John Salmons * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Luc Mbah a Moute * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Corey Maggette * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Douglas-Roberts * | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Larry Sanders | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Michael Redd | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter