Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -7 (90-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| George Hill * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 9-23 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 31 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Etan Thomas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter