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2011-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +8 (104-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 35 5-12 0-1 6-7 5 2 0 0 1 16 10 -
Shawn Marion * 28 8-11 1-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 19 11 -
Jason Kidd * 27 0-6 0-5 0-0 2 4 3 1 2 0 2 -
Jason Terry * 25 1-6 1-3 1-1 0 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 24 6-12 2-4 4-4 0 4 0 0 2 18 8 -
Brendan Haywood * 23 2-3 0-0 1-4 11 1 0 1 1 5 14 -
Ian Mahinmi * 19 2-2 0-0 3-6 5 2 1 0 0 7 13 -
J.J. Barea * 16 5-10 2-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 12 3 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
Brian Cardinal * 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Peja Stojakovic * 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Corey Brewer 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerald Wallace * 36 8-10 1-2 2-4 8 3 3 0 3 19 20 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 35 9-17 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 0 18 11 -
Nicolas Batum * 34 5-9 2-5 3-5 3 4 2 0 0 15 15 -
Wesley Matthews * 28 4-7 0-2 8-8 1 2 2 0 2 16 12 -
Andre Miller * 26 4-9 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 10 2 -
Brandon Roy * 25 3-9 1-2 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 9 5 -
Marcus Camby * 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 4 10 -
Rudy Fernandez * 20 3-6 1-3 4-4 0 3 1 0 1 11 8 -
Chris Johnson 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Patty Mills 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Luke Babbitt 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter