Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | +5.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +12 (108-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Paul George * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| AJ Price * | 22 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 20 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Posey * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Ariza * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 29 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Willie Green * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Quincy Pondexter * | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jason Smith * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Ewing | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter