Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets -14 (94-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 13-18 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| James Jones * | 24 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 19 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 41 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Brook Lopez * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 38 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Morrow * | 22 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 20 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Mario West * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Uzoh | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter