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2011-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 70.8% 29.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% -
Margin 54.5% 45.5% -1.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -5 (90-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danilo Gallinari * 40 7-13 3-6 5-11 7 3 3 0 2 22 20 -
Kenyon Martin * 34 8-15 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 18 12 -
Nene Hilario * 32 5-8 0-0 2-5 7 3 3 1 2 12 16 -
Ty Lawson * 30 1-6 0-1 3-4 6 8 2 0 5 5 10 -
Raymond Felton * 30 6-15 3-4 1-1 5 4 1 0 3 16 8 -
Wilson Chandler * 28 3-9 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 1 1 7 5 -
JR Smith * 15 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 4 1 -
Timofey Mozgov * 15 2-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Al Harrington * 12 2-4 1-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 6 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 37 10-27 0-4 8-9 4 4 3 0 2 28 10 -
Derek Fisher * 32 2-8 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 5 -1 -
Lamar Odom * 31 7-17 2-6 1-4 7 5 0 1 3 17 10 -
Pau Gasol * 31 7-10 0-0 2-3 12 0 0 1 4 16 15 -
Andrew Bynum * 30 4-7 0-0 0-0 16 2 2 2 3 8 20 -
Metta World Peace * 28 1-5 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 1 2 5 5 -
Steve Blake * 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 2 3 -
Matt Barnes * 17 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 1 0 5 7 -
Shannon Brown * 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -

* = starter