Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +17 (114-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dudley * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 30 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Zabian Dowdell * | 21 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -6 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Garret Siler | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 26 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| George Hill * | 25 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 24 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 18 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| James Anderson | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Steve Novak | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter