Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +7 (99-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 44 | 11-20 | 4-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 19 | - |
| David Lee * | 43 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 39 | 5-18 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter