Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | +1.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 41 | 15-23 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 16 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 38 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 21 | - |
| George Hill * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| James Anderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 45 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 42 | 8-20 | 4-10 | 13-14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 15 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 41 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 23 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter