Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -19 (92-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 36 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 14-21 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| James Jones * | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Eddie House * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Dexter Pittman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 28 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Michael Beasley * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lazar Hayward | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter